Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 378.671614 429.975883 487.001399 555.321459 635.255301 726.184660 837.973393
2025-10-19 302.870389 370.094686 451.640523 558.796783 697.310208 872.253563 1113.027970
2025-10-26 253.520387 324.682011 416.027874 543.645513 720.163996 959.975333 1317.904556
2025-11-02 220.593143 293.132424 390.517266 533.461994 742.481138 1044.322438 1527.237014
2025-11-09 203.403034 279.356865 385.528502 548.567724 799.589818 1183.594682 1840.503194
2025-11-16 185.096129 261.297920 371.484719 547.302267 830.290496 1285.574276 2112.312299
2025-11-23 168.596526 243.752483 355.687154 540.440151 849.843790 1370.874818 2370.486685
2025-11-30 157.007733 232.164574 347.282047 543.546556 885.101748 1486.620806 2705.718003
2025-12-07 144.194956 217.340832 332.094609 533.285614 895.336740 1558.646019 2970.689177
2025-12-14 134.250826 206.072583 321.357894 528.998521 915.024104 1650.275273 3294.143213
2025-12-21 122.256533 190.438658 301.928346 507.191401 899.153557 1670.199807 3466.771108
2025-12-28 118.299247 187.689333 303.822985 523.655667 958.021904 1848.771224 4039.349300
2026-01-04 115.379241 186.556541 308.585252 546.376263 1033.467435 2077.722238 4800.869696
2026-01-11 109.534599 179.905415 302.991625 548.746441 1067.735238 2223.506064 5395.169371
2026-01-18 101.841950 169.389652 289.459193 533.964353 1063.342297 2279.843712 5763.739029
2026-01-25 95.533409 160.879400 278.901236 523.992039 1068.038182 2358.512200 6219.161990
2026-02-01 92.927811 158.881438 280.351967 538.780847 1130.516089 2591.165579 7211.137197
2026-02-08 88.584503 153.339702 274.526487 537.542004 1155.504607 2732.766368 7963.967746
2026-02-15 83.972511 146.968844 266.564221 530.824044 1166.385349 2838.941408 8635.576156
2026-02-22 80.785002 143.084722 263.206153 533.865232 1201.710358 3019.729116 9639.157701
2026-03-01 76.480399 136.759360 254.441220 523.819457 1202.488911 3101.952927 10307.252612
2026-03-08 73.072480 131.974469 248.477827 519.622044 1217.965522 3231.236478 11214.064942
2026-03-15 68.273853 124.157285 235.689836 498.269066 1185.020591 3206.446786 11477.486079